Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (November 7, 2025) | XTB

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Current Trends in Bitcoin: Navigating the $100,000 Threshold

Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, has recently experienced notable fluctuations in its price. After dipping to around $100,000, it initially found buying interest, allowing it to recover to approximately $104,000. However, following a downturn on Wall Street, Bitcoin faced further declines, approaching the $101,000 mark. This volatility indicates a prevailing bearish sentiment that has gripped the broader cryptocurrency market.

Analyzing Historical Correction Patterns

To understand Bitcoin’s current predicament, it’s essential to look at prior correction patterns. Historically, Bitcoin’s pullbacks have showcased similar scales—often reflecting a 1:1 corrective move within the ongoing bullish trend. For instance, after a drop to $48,000 in the summer of 2024, the subsequent low seen in spring 2025 formed nearly $26,000 higher, around $74,700. If this pattern were to mirror itself, we might see the current correction stabilize at or near the current levels.

Potential Decline and Support Analysis

While these historical patterns provide a framework for understanding potential price movements, it’s crucial to consider the depth of past downturns. Previous declines have been modestly greater, suggesting a possible retreat towards $94,000. Such a move would undermine nearly all of this year’s gains.

When examining the current market conditions through tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and MACD, there is a noticeable indication that Bitcoin is oversold. Moreover, the key short-term support level hovers around $100,000, where we’ve already seen a robust buying reaction. This trend reflects a similar recovery observed in June, generating some optimism despite the underlying uncertainties.

Resistance Levels and Market Dynamics

Shifting focus to resistance, Bitcoin currently faces significant hurdles at the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), situated near $110,000. This level aligns with an important on-chain metric—the average purchase price of short-term holders. A rally toward this point may relieve selling pressure from retail investors, who might be holding out for better conditions before making significant moves.

The major underlying threat lies in the continued volatility of the stock market. Should it persist in its downward trajectory, Bitcoin might plunge below the critical $100,000 threshold, triggering further bearish sentiment in the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

Understanding these dynamics is bolstered by graphical representations of market conditions. The accompanying chart illustrates the critical price zones and movements relevant to Bitcoin’s current standing. Such visualization aids investors in grasping potential future trends and making informed decisions reflecting the market environment.

Source: xStation5

This multifaceted approach of evaluating Bitcoin’s price movements allows investors and enthusiasts to remain informed and prepared as the market evolves. The interplay between resistance, support, and external factors like the stock market will undoubtedly shape Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming days.

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